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Aspen Technology, Inc. (AZPN)
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We’re for sure in a downswing… Cash running low and initializations numbers have been dropping which hamper future growth. If the backlog really and truly is there I’m not concerned… Management have a lot to prove once restrictions lift as were all sick and tired of hearing the same story over and over each call.
Tough pill to swallow today but I’m remaining patient as the business model is structured so well to support future ongoing operations (Zero attrition and growing NDR) and growth (With 100k+ connected assets) and the story behind the software and how it helps business’ is too compelling to back out now (Read Digital Transformation by Thomas Siebel).
Comparables like $AZPN and $AI are much more established. Remain patient.
I’ve been holding for over a year now.
Downgraded by Benchmark Buy » Hold
Maintains KeyBanc Overweight USD 150 » USD 155
Downgrades JPMorgan Chase Underweight USD 156 » USD 144
Reiterated by William Blair Buy
Gotta think rising oil prices bode well for AZPN.
It's all in the details. There's a good reason behind the current FY2017 guidance - which you'll notice they are maintaining at targets first issued in June. Overall a decent quarter in the current circumstances of low oil prices.
@Our fourth quarter performance was achieved despite the fact that the three Latin American NOC transactions referenced on prior earnings calls did not renew. The macro environment in certain countries in this region remains challenging. And while we continue actively engage with these customers, the timing for any of these transactions to close is unclear at this time. We do not intend to provide further progress updates on these transactions going forward, but we will inform investors, if any of these transactions closes... Karl will review our overall guidance later, but I wanted to take a moment to discuss our annual spend outlook for fiscal year 2017. We're reiterating our target of 3% to 6% growth in annual spend. This outlook assumes no impact from the Latin American NOC transactions that has not renewed and no improvement in the demand environment we experienced in fiscal year 2016.
@I'd now like to close with our financial outlook for the first quarter and full year fiscal 2017. We are reiterating our full fiscal year guidance that we initially provided at our Investor Day this past June. We continue to expect revenue to be in the range of $470 million to $477 million. Taken together, we continue to target GAAP operating income in the range of $199 million to $206 million for fiscal 2017, with GAAP net income of approximately $126 million to $131 million. We expect GAAP net income per share of $1.56 to $1.62. From a non-GAAP perspective, we are reiterating our non-GAAP operating income guidance of $217 million to $224 million, and expect non-GAAP income per share in the range of $1.71 to $1.76.
Where's the wizard? I think he wizzed his pants.
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