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Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE)

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48,40-0,39 (-0,80%)
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  • J
    JAC
    $GTE conversation
    Not sure why GTE is not moving up with other oil companies during the rise in Brent Oil Price. Other companies like $SM and $XLE (which is a mutual fund of 10 oil companies) have risen significantly over the last few months but this company is falling (except for today thank goodness). I understand that $GMT is unloading, but not sure why they are unloading (other than they lost a lot in TSLA). This is my only oil stock that is floundering. Keep hearing May will be the turn around. I hope that is the case. GLTA!
  • d
    danny
    $XLE conversation
    $XOM

    $XLE

    $CVX

    $OXY

    $TSLA
    For those who say oil is dead - executives from American oil and gas companies met with the White House today to discuss the new climate & infrastructure package.

    It’s notable that Elon Musk, Cathie Wood or the new trendy green CEOs were NOT invited.

    As I’ve said countless times, existing energy companies will be the leaders with their existing engineering capacity, financial resources and global structure. They will likely receive grants from the infrastructure bull to develop carbon scrubbing tech & alternative fuels.

    In other words- to invest in
    $XLE
    and it’s component companies is to invest in tomorrow’s green companies.
  • d
    danny
    $TSLA conversation
    Recoup your losses in ERX. Oil is traded only in US Dollars globally. When the dollar is weak, oil prices rise. The amount of stimulus injected into the economy due to Covid dwarfs any past stimulus measures taken in the history of the planet.

    This devalues the dollar (its inflationary). Oil must rise simply due to the dollar inflation created by the stimulus.

    Couple the dollar inflation with rising demand due to vaccines (and travel demand returning) and the constrained supply, you have the next bull market in oil for the next decade.

    Play this with ERX. It’s double levered to XLE. Meaning if XLE moves 5%, ERX moves 10%. For the same corresponding price target in $XLE, $ERX is cheaper when playing calls.
  • d
    danny
    $TSLA conversation
    I told you weeks ago to sell TSLA and buy $XLE $OXY $ERX. Tesla remains way overvalued. Get into oil and gas stocks while you still have tremendous upside. Stimulus is inflationary for the dollar. Oil is traded exclusively in dollars globally. This means oil will continue to rise. Get in now and ride the wave for the next 4-5 years to $125 oil.
  • d
    danny
    $TSLA conversation
    Sell Tesla and buy $XLE $OXY $ERX stop investing in bubble stocks. Buy real companies with real assets.
  • T
    The_Real_Q
    $SPY conversation
    Have you rotated into $GME and $XLE yet? Only ones winning these days.
  • C
    Chris
    Theres nothing wrong
    With being extremely bearish on high pe
    Wfm or tech
    Scam stocks like $zm $tsla $ttd $roku here as valuations make no sense but shorting
    All indices into the hole here is a recipe on how to
    Blow up. I got $t $khc $ibm breaking out and the 3d prting sector down massively here and will likely
    Bottom quickly providing animal spirits thursday. 3d printer stocks are reopening trades but being treated wrongly here $ddd $dm . Also $xom $xle oil is overvalued here $bp short oil
  • L
    Louis
    $XLE conversation
    The people losing their shirts in $PLUG & $ICLN have a chance to consider another energy sector, like $XLE Green energy is the future, value stocks are the now it seems. I feel bad for the $PLUG bagholders; I genuinely do, but.. it went up 20x in a year. That's not going to end well, IMO.
  • C
    Chris
    We need oil to drop to 50 to remain bullish. Its a massive tax on consumers here $spy $aapl $amzn $wmt $xle $xom oil is wayyyyyy too high here
  • B
    Belinda
    $TSLA conversation
    The Tesla bubble is finally popping. Soon to be under $100 (still too high) and kicked out of the S&P 500. Buy $XLE and $OXY now while you can.
  • j
    jim
    $TSLA conversation
    JP Morgan Quant Expert predicts Secular Bull Market in oil companies driven by algorithm initiated short squeeze in March 2021

    JPM quant trading and valuation experts Marko Kolanovic predicts the next 12 years will be the most profitable era for oil investors in the past 100 years due to inflation, the weakening US Dollar (caused by stimulus), a booming stimulus-driven recovery, and under-investment in oil production caused by environmental concerns.

    The fundamentals will be compounded by automatic trading by algorithm driven super-fast traders called Quants.

    The market will begin automatically rebalancing out of short positions in mid-March due to the recent rise in energy company stocks, oil prices and excess liquidity.

    The best picks to cash in on this cycle are $OXY, $XOM, $CVX, $ET, $ERX & $XLE.

    The following is an excerpt from his article.

    Quants and Momentum Investing

    In a market where algos and trend-followers have emerged as one of the dominant price-setting forces, it is hardly a surprise that the JPM quant focuses on their influence as the driver behind a commodity supercycle. Indeed, he writes that after "CTAs played significant role in the 2014 oil price downturn" more recently, "CTA funds have been adding Energy exposure. The reason is that 12-month momentum turned positive on Oil, and going forward signals will remain solidly positive."

    And since vol-control funds are some of the dumbest money around and their actions can be anticipated well in advance, JPM notes that "a further decline in volatility will likely result in larger and more stable cross-asset quant allocations. A larger momentum impact may affect Energy equities, which is the only sector that still has a strongly negative momentum signal and is hence heavily shorted in the context of factor investing."

    That, JPMorgan believes, will "change in mid-March, when the momentum signal for energy equities turns positive" which may be a hint to the redditors out there: if you want to squeeze the systematic shorts, do it where it hurts and buy some energy stocks to crush the CTAs. You have about a month to do so because JPM's model momentum factor "will need to rebalance in March by closing ~20% of its allocation to Energy equity shorts, and adding ~2% to energy longs, for a ~22% net buying in Energy."

    What is the quantitative significance of these flows? Kolanovic calculates that if one roughly assumes that there is about ~$1Tr in equity long-short quant funds and that half of these funds are not sector neutralized, "the flows could be quite significant, roughly $20-$30bn." As shown in the chart below, the ratio of energy shares shorted vs all other S&P 500 shares shorted, closely followed the commodity supercycle.

    Remarkably, most recently the number of shares shorted for energy was 4 times the S&P 500 average (note that given the decline of the sector’s weight, energy share prices declined, and the effective $ amount shorted was only 2 times larger). In other words, one doesn't even need to squeeze the shorts: come March - absent some major new crisis - as a result of broader market technicals the prevailing shorts will close them out on their own and go long.

    Another "flow factor" behind the "supercycle" is rotation by discretionary funds and retail: In the period from 2010 to 2015, the Energy sector had a 10.6% allocation in conventional equity portfolios. Since then, this has declined to a 3.1% weight currently (Figure 4). The largest decline was in active allocations, which declined from 7% to 1.5% (while passive allocations decreased from 3.6% to 1.8%), which is understandable - investors dumped "dead stocks" to chase growth and momentum, but the tide is now turning, and "any retracement of this decline, on a US equity fund asset base of ~$14T would result in significant inflows and re-pricing."

    According to Kolanovic, as economies reopen, inflation moves higher, and yield curves steepen, active funds are expected to first close cyclical shorts, and then rotate from long secular growth towards value and cyclicals. His next point is critical: given that equity assets significantly increased over the last 10 years, and the energy sector significantly decreased, even a small rotation could produce an outsized move.
    JPM has a hot tip for investors: the biggest systematic shorts are in the energy sector.
    JPM has a hot tip for investors: the biggest systematic shorts are in the energy sector.
    www.zerohedge.com
  • H
    Hookem
    $CHK conversation
    Interesting news for the energy sector going forward.

    JP Morgan Quant Expert predicts Secular Bull Market in oil companies driven by algorithm initiated short squeeze in March 2021

    JPM quant trading and valuation experts Marko Kolanovic predicts the next 12 years will be the most profitable era for oil investors in the past 100 years due to inflation, the weakening US Dollar (caused by stimulus), a booming stimulus-driven recovery, and under-investment in oil production caused by environmental concerns.

    The fundamentals will be compounded by automatic trading by algorithm driven super-fast traders called Quants.

    The market will begin automatically rebalancing out of short positions in mid-March due to the recent rise in energy company stocks, oil prices and excess liquidity.

    The best picks to cash in on this cycle are $OXY, $XOM, $CVX, $ET, $ERX & $XLE.

    The following is an excerpt from his article.

    Quants and Momentum Investing

    In a market where algos and trend-followers have emerged as one of the dominant price-setting forces, it is hardly a surprise that the JPM quant focuses on their influence as the driver behind a commodity supercycle. Indeed, he writes that after "CTAs played significant role in the 2014 oil price downturn" more recently, "CTA funds have been adding Energy exposure. The reason is that 12-month momentum turned positive on Oil, and going forward signals will remain solidly positive."

    And since vol-control funds are some of the dumbest money around and their actions can be anticipated well in advance, JPM notes that "a further decline in volatility will likely result in larger and more stable cross-asset quant allocations. A larger momentum impact may affect Energy equities, which is the only sector that still has a strongly negative momentum signal and is hence heavily shorted in the context of factor investing."

    That, JPMorgan believes, will "change in mid-March, when the momentum signal for energy equities turns positive" which may be a hint to the redditors out there: if you want to squeeze the systematic shorts, do it where it hurts and buy some energy stocks to crush the CTAs. You have about a month to do so because JPM's model momentum factor "will need to rebalance in March by closing ~20% of its allocation to Energy equity shorts, and adding ~2% to energy longs, for a ~22% net buying in Energy."

    What is the quantitative significance of these flows? Kolanovic calculates that if one roughly assumes that there is about ~$1Tr in equity long-short quant funds and that half of these funds are not sector neutralized, "the flows could be quite significant, roughly $20-$30bn." As shown in the chart below, the ratio of energy shares shorted vs all other S&P 500 shares shorted, closely followed the commodity supercycle.

    Remarkably, most recently the number of shares shorted for energy was 4 times the S&P 500 average (note that given the decline of the sector’s weight, energy share prices declined, and the effective $ amount shorted was only 2 times larger). In other words, one doesn't even need to squeeze the shorts: come March - absent some major new crisis - as a result of broader market technicals the prevailing shorts will close them out on their own and go long.

    Another "flow factor" behind the "supercycle" is rotation by discretionary funds and retail: In the period from 2010 to 2015, the Energy sector had a 10.6% allocation in conventional equity portfolios. Since then, this has declined to a 3.1% weight currently (Figure 4). The largest decline was in active allocations, which declined from 7% to 1.5% (while passive allocations decreased from 3.6% to 1.8%), which is understandable - investors dumped "dead stocks" to chase growth and momentum, but the tide is now turning, and "any retracement of this decline, on a US equity fund asset base of ~$14T would result in significant inflows and re-pricing."

    According to Kolanovic, as economies reopen, inflation moves higher, and yield curves steepen, active funds are expected to first close cyclical shorts, and then rotate from long secular growth towards value and cyclicals. His next point is critical: given that equity assets significantly increased over the last 10 years, and the energy sector significantly decreased, even a small rotation could produce an outsized move.
  • d
    drew
    $TSLA conversation
    Okay, I know the popular line is oil is dead...but is it really realistic to say a product with 95 million barrels per day in global demand (and quickly rising back to 100 mm BPD) is dead?

    Secondly, the oil companies have developed a huge business and engineering infrastructure that will help them in the transition to green energy over the couple of decades.

    The investment thesis is as follows:

    Intro-
    Oil production is lower than global demand as evidenced by the lower trend of US & Chinese oil stocks. Going forward oil supply will be constrained by government policies to encourage investment in green energy, however, due to global reliance on fossil fuels, oil demand is not projected to fall until 2055 - it will continue to grow at around 2% per year.

    Thesis-
    The combination of decreased production and rising demand create the catalyst for the final long term secular bull market in the oil and gas industry with prices between $100-$150 starting in 2023.

    Details-
    Diversify your recent gains into the oil & Nat gas sector while the market is undervalued. The Green energy transition is limiting oil supply through government policy. Demand is rising as Covid cases are dropping and vaccines are rolled out. See the US IEA inventory report and the China inventory report.

    Secondly refer to the recent Goldman Sachs report about the start of the secular bull market in oil. Expect $100-$150 oil beginning in 2023 through 2040.

    The cash flow generated by these prices will drive further innovation in green energy from oil companies and further result in the strategic buyout of wind and solar companies by the existing oil industry.

    An example of this trend is $OXY. They have developed the worlds first carbon neutral crude and the world’s most advanced carbon capture and sequestration technology. Warren Buffett owns OXY preferred.

    Today you can buy excellent companies or ETFs with high distributors at 1/2 price.

    $GEL for $6.00; $ET for $6.00; $OXY for $21 or $XLE for $41.

    Take some profits and invest in oil companies. It’s the only undervalued market sector remaining. The bull oil market is here for the next 12-15 years.
  • N
    Nate
    $SPY conversation
    Wow, oil down bigtime. $XLE is holding its own but I have hedged today. Not looking good.
  • S
    SSPoofer
    $SPY conversation
    ZOOM, PTON working today ...Airlines, $XLE $CCL tanking. Yes - lockdowns do matter when everyone holds cyclicals .
  • r
    robert
    $VST conversation
    This last summer California had rolling blackouts and now its happening in Texas. Our s$!t governor in California blamed global warming, but in Texas its global freezing!!

    States and cities saying "NO MORE NATURAL GAS" are just nuts. Natural gas along with wind/solar are key.

    So fire up them Nat gas plants, let the sunshine and the wind blow, and store the energy with our incredible battery's!!

    $xle
  • C
    Chris
    U all forgot this was just a trade oil is doa in cars $xom $xle $pxd
  • J
    Jason
    $TSLA conversation
    According to Goldman Sachs, oil is set to begin a long 12-15 year secular bull market. It’s time to invest in old school energy like $XLE $OXY $ET & $GEL. These companies will generate cash to buy out the green start ups and complete the green revolution.
  • d
    drew
    $TSLA conversation
    The Tesla bubble is finally popping. Soon to be under $100 (still too high) and kicked out of the S&P 500. Buy $XLE and $OXY now while you can.
  • d
    drew
    $TSLA conversation
    Tesla is the top EV company in the world. It’s investors have been rewarded. Diversify your gains into the oil & Nat gas companies while the market is undervalued. The Green energy transition is limiting oil supply through government policy. Demand is rising as Covid cases are dropping and vaccines are rolled out. See the US IEA inventory report and the China inventory report.

    Read the Goldman Sachs report about the start of the secular bull market in oil. Expect $100-$150 oil beginning in 2023 through 2035.

    The cash flow generated by these prices will drive further innovation in green energy from oil companies and the strategic buyout of wind and solar.

    $Oxy has developed the worlds first carbon neutral crude.

    Today you can buy excellent companies or ETFs with high distributors at 1/2 price.

    $GEL for $6.00; $ET for $6.00; $OXY for $21 or $XLE for $41. Warren Buffett owns OXY stock.

    Take some profits and invest in oil companies. It’s the only undervalued market sector remaining. The bull oil market is here for the next 12-15 years.