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Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares (ERX)

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27,38+1,94 (+7,63%)
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  • d
    danny
    $TSLA conversation
    Sell Tesla and buy $XLE $OXY $ERX stop investing in bubble stocks. Buy real companies with real assets.
  • d
    danny
    $TSLA conversation
    I told you weeks ago to sell TSLA and buy $XLE $OXY $ERX. Tesla remains way overvalued. Get into oil and gas stocks while you still have tremendous upside. Stimulus is inflationary for the dollar. Oil is traded exclusively in dollars globally. This means oil will continue to rise. Get in now and ride the wave for the next 4-5 years to $125 oil.
  • j
    jim
    $TSLA conversation
    JP Morgan Quant Expert predicts Secular Bull Market in oil companies driven by algorithm initiated short squeeze in March 2021

    JPM quant trading and valuation experts Marko Kolanovic predicts the next 12 years will be the most profitable era for oil investors in the past 100 years due to inflation, the weakening US Dollar (caused by stimulus), a booming stimulus-driven recovery, and under-investment in oil production caused by environmental concerns.

    The fundamentals will be compounded by automatic trading by algorithm driven super-fast traders called Quants.

    The market will begin automatically rebalancing out of short positions in mid-March due to the recent rise in energy company stocks, oil prices and excess liquidity.

    The best picks to cash in on this cycle are $OXY, $XOM, $CVX, $ET, $ERX & $XLE.

    The following is an excerpt from his article.

    Quants and Momentum Investing

    In a market where algos and trend-followers have emerged as one of the dominant price-setting forces, it is hardly a surprise that the JPM quant focuses on their influence as the driver behind a commodity supercycle. Indeed, he writes that after "CTAs played significant role in the 2014 oil price downturn" more recently, "CTA funds have been adding Energy exposure. The reason is that 12-month momentum turned positive on Oil, and going forward signals will remain solidly positive."

    And since vol-control funds are some of the dumbest money around and their actions can be anticipated well in advance, JPM notes that "a further decline in volatility will likely result in larger and more stable cross-asset quant allocations. A larger momentum impact may affect Energy equities, which is the only sector that still has a strongly negative momentum signal and is hence heavily shorted in the context of factor investing."

    That, JPMorgan believes, will "change in mid-March, when the momentum signal for energy equities turns positive" which may be a hint to the redditors out there: if you want to squeeze the systematic shorts, do it where it hurts and buy some energy stocks to crush the CTAs. You have about a month to do so because JPM's model momentum factor "will need to rebalance in March by closing ~20% of its allocation to Energy equity shorts, and adding ~2% to energy longs, for a ~22% net buying in Energy."

    What is the quantitative significance of these flows? Kolanovic calculates that if one roughly assumes that there is about ~$1Tr in equity long-short quant funds and that half of these funds are not sector neutralized, "the flows could be quite significant, roughly $20-$30bn." As shown in the chart below, the ratio of energy shares shorted vs all other S&P 500 shares shorted, closely followed the commodity supercycle.

    Remarkably, most recently the number of shares shorted for energy was 4 times the S&P 500 average (note that given the decline of the sector’s weight, energy share prices declined, and the effective $ amount shorted was only 2 times larger). In other words, one doesn't even need to squeeze the shorts: come March - absent some major new crisis - as a result of broader market technicals the prevailing shorts will close them out on their own and go long.

    Another "flow factor" behind the "supercycle" is rotation by discretionary funds and retail: In the period from 2010 to 2015, the Energy sector had a 10.6% allocation in conventional equity portfolios. Since then, this has declined to a 3.1% weight currently (Figure 4). The largest decline was in active allocations, which declined from 7% to 1.5% (while passive allocations decreased from 3.6% to 1.8%), which is understandable - investors dumped "dead stocks" to chase growth and momentum, but the tide is now turning, and "any retracement of this decline, on a US equity fund asset base of ~$14T would result in significant inflows and re-pricing."

    According to Kolanovic, as economies reopen, inflation moves higher, and yield curves steepen, active funds are expected to first close cyclical shorts, and then rotate from long secular growth towards value and cyclicals. His next point is critical: given that equity assets significantly increased over the last 10 years, and the energy sector significantly decreased, even a small rotation could produce an outsized move.
    JPM has a hot tip for investors: the biggest systematic shorts are in the energy sector.
    JPM has a hot tip for investors: the biggest systematic shorts are in the energy sector.
    www.zerohedge.com
  • H
    Hookem
    $CHK conversation
    Interesting news for the energy sector going forward.

    JP Morgan Quant Expert predicts Secular Bull Market in oil companies driven by algorithm initiated short squeeze in March 2021

    JPM quant trading and valuation experts Marko Kolanovic predicts the next 12 years will be the most profitable era for oil investors in the past 100 years due to inflation, the weakening US Dollar (caused by stimulus), a booming stimulus-driven recovery, and under-investment in oil production caused by environmental concerns.

    The fundamentals will be compounded by automatic trading by algorithm driven super-fast traders called Quants.

    The market will begin automatically rebalancing out of short positions in mid-March due to the recent rise in energy company stocks, oil prices and excess liquidity.

    The best picks to cash in on this cycle are $OXY, $XOM, $CVX, $ET, $ERX & $XLE.

    The following is an excerpt from his article.

    Quants and Momentum Investing

    In a market where algos and trend-followers have emerged as one of the dominant price-setting forces, it is hardly a surprise that the JPM quant focuses on their influence as the driver behind a commodity supercycle. Indeed, he writes that after "CTAs played significant role in the 2014 oil price downturn" more recently, "CTA funds have been adding Energy exposure. The reason is that 12-month momentum turned positive on Oil, and going forward signals will remain solidly positive."

    And since vol-control funds are some of the dumbest money around and their actions can be anticipated well in advance, JPM notes that "a further decline in volatility will likely result in larger and more stable cross-asset quant allocations. A larger momentum impact may affect Energy equities, which is the only sector that still has a strongly negative momentum signal and is hence heavily shorted in the context of factor investing."

    That, JPMorgan believes, will "change in mid-March, when the momentum signal for energy equities turns positive" which may be a hint to the redditors out there: if you want to squeeze the systematic shorts, do it where it hurts and buy some energy stocks to crush the CTAs. You have about a month to do so because JPM's model momentum factor "will need to rebalance in March by closing ~20% of its allocation to Energy equity shorts, and adding ~2% to energy longs, for a ~22% net buying in Energy."

    What is the quantitative significance of these flows? Kolanovic calculates that if one roughly assumes that there is about ~$1Tr in equity long-short quant funds and that half of these funds are not sector neutralized, "the flows could be quite significant, roughly $20-$30bn." As shown in the chart below, the ratio of energy shares shorted vs all other S&P 500 shares shorted, closely followed the commodity supercycle.

    Remarkably, most recently the number of shares shorted for energy was 4 times the S&P 500 average (note that given the decline of the sector’s weight, energy share prices declined, and the effective $ amount shorted was only 2 times larger). In other words, one doesn't even need to squeeze the shorts: come March - absent some major new crisis - as a result of broader market technicals the prevailing shorts will close them out on their own and go long.

    Another "flow factor" behind the "supercycle" is rotation by discretionary funds and retail: In the period from 2010 to 2015, the Energy sector had a 10.6% allocation in conventional equity portfolios. Since then, this has declined to a 3.1% weight currently (Figure 4). The largest decline was in active allocations, which declined from 7% to 1.5% (while passive allocations decreased from 3.6% to 1.8%), which is understandable - investors dumped "dead stocks" to chase growth and momentum, but the tide is now turning, and "any retracement of this decline, on a US equity fund asset base of ~$14T would result in significant inflows and re-pricing."

    According to Kolanovic, as economies reopen, inflation moves higher, and yield curves steepen, active funds are expected to first close cyclical shorts, and then rotate from long secular growth towards value and cyclicals. His next point is critical: given that equity assets significantly increased over the last 10 years, and the energy sector significantly decreased, even a small rotation could produce an outsized move.
  • R
    R
    Schlumberger Limited
    Brexit deal is done also. No more hiccups for $SLB $IEZ $ERX $XOM $HAL (except CNBC😁)
  • t
    travers
    Viper Energy Partners LP
    Oil set to plunge another $10 on the open https://seekingalpha.com/news/3549568?source=ansh $USO, $XLE, $OIL, $UWT, $XOP, $UCO, $VDE, $OIH, $DWT, $BGR, $BNO, $ERX, $GUSH, $SCO, $XES, $DRIP, $FENY, $DBO
    Veteran oil trader Mark Fisher tells CNBC's Scott Wapner that oil is indicated to open below $32 per barrel - nearly $10 less than where it closed on Friday, and about $15 per barrel below where it cl
    Veteran oil trader Mark Fisher tells CNBC's Scott Wapner that oil is indicated to open below $32 per barrel - nearly $10 less than where it closed on Friday, and about $15 per barrel below where it cl
    seekingalpha.com
  • M
    Mesh
    this is my first time trading 3x etfs I am planning to buy and hold and I see the term liquidated a lot here, what does it mean and is it safe to buy and hold for long term investment specially talking on $ERX
  • G
    GopalRaju
    $ERX conversation
    I expect ERX to come down to 37 to 38 levels with in a week. Good time to accumulate
  • D
    David P
    $EMES conversation
    More news... (plz don't kill the messenger...)
    Losses in energy stocks led by drilling servicers, frac sand suppliers https://seekingalpha.com/news/3393194?source=ansh $PES, $BAS, $KEG, $PKD, $NBR, $PTEN, $HCLP, $SLCA, $SND, $EMES, $USO, $XLE, $OIL, $UWT, $UCO, $VDE, $DWT, $ERX, $OIH, $SCO, $BNO, $DBO, $XES, $ERY, $DIG, $BGR, $DTO, $FENY, $USL, $IYE, $DUG, $FIF, $IEZ, $DNO, $OLO, $RYE, $PXJ, $SZO, $CRAK, $FXN, $OLEM, $WTIU, $DDG, $OILK, $NANR, $OILX, $WTID, $USOI, $USOU, $USOD, $FTXN, $JHME, $ERYY, $ERGF, $OILD, $OILU, $USAI
    Oil and gas stocks are pulling back after two days of strong gains, as Brent crude -0.7% to $81.29/bbl after rising yesterday to its highest since November 2014 and WTI -0.9% to $71.59 after closing
    Oil and gas stocks are pulling back after two days of strong gains, as Brent crude -0.7% to $81.29/bbl after rising yesterday to its highest since November 2014 and WTI -0.9% to $71.59 after closing
    seekingalpha.com
  • T
    Thanos-a-diol
    $GUSH conversation
    no sense for $GUSH and $ERX to be so stalled as they are
  • k
    kevin
    Valaris plc
    Oil set to plunge another $10 on the open https://seekingalpha.com/news/3549568?source=ansh $USO, $XLE, $OIL, $UWT, $XOP, $UCO, $VDE, $OIH, $DWT, $BGR, $BNO, $ERX, $GUSH, $SCO, $XES, $DRIP, $FENY, $DBO
    Veteran oil trader Mark Fisher tells CNBC's Scott Wapner that oil is indicated to open below $32 per barrel - nearly $10 less than where it closed on Friday, and about $15 per barrel below where it cl
    Veteran oil trader Mark Fisher tells CNBC's Scott Wapner that oil is indicated to open below $32 per barrel - nearly $10 less than where it closed on Friday, and about $15 per barrel below where it cl
    seekingalpha.com
  • I
    INCOMPETENT IMPEACHED FOREVER
    $BX conversation
    You should see the other 76 stocks in my World Class Portfolio ... currently returning +20% per month ~
    "Shaggy: Silly Susan is short $BX, and long $ERX $AMZA $MJ and $ORBC."
  • J
    James
    $ERX conversation
    salut 6 / 2 and it dont look good for oil and erx
  • R
    Richard
    Manipulation until margin calls or longs cut loss, never using margin,folks, no 3*gold ,gas, oil.
  • B
    Bernard
    Oil at $54, ERX should be over $37. #$%$ is going on ?
  • J
    Joe Mama
    $ERX conversation
    Oil will be going to $75-$80 in 2017....load up on ERX...
  • J
    JC
    $ERX conversation
    why is this energy index down when oil is up?
  • J
    James
    $ERX conversation
    time to start posting here any ideas out there what oil might do in the next few month
  • H
    Hollingshead
    $ERX conversation
    $ERX........... The markets will most likely collapse sometime this year…Are you prepared? Google Loin Stock AlertsQ......, they only alert short term trades that work in any market…Do this now before it’s too late.
  • J
    James
    $ERX conversation
    salut just bought some erx at 29. 60 i got greedy and double my position that i usually make as i type it looks like i bought at the top