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(Bloomberg) -- Gasoline demand surged to a a record high as Americans took to the road for the July 4th holiday weekend.
Gasoline supplied, a proxy for demand, rose to 10 million barrels a day the week ended July 2, the highest in data going back to 1990, according to the Energy Information Administration.
Demand has regained its footing as vaccinations and easing economic restrictions propel more Americans to resume their pre-pandemic lifestyles. Oil prices have risen almost 50% this year as U.S. refineries run close to full-bore to keep up with fuel demand. While the U.S. recovery quickens, the world’s largest oil producers can’t agree on how to supply the market with Saudi Arabia advocating for tempered supply increases given the potential headwinds that still exist.
“Demand is bucking with the price spikes and summer driving, but with high gas prices and inflation, the picture in September may look different,” said Trisha Curtis, co-founder of PetroNerds.
The moving average for demand also climbed higher, reaching the most since late 2019. But on a seasonal basis the figure was still about 150,000 barrels a day short of July 2019, suggesting the market still has some room to recover.
U.S. motorists hit the road in large numbers despite contending with the highest gasoline prices since 2014. The average pump price Thursday was $3.14 a gallon, according to auto club AAA.
© 2021 Bloomberg L.P.
$CLR $RIG $OXY $COP $VLO $HFC $NOV $HP $RES $MUR $XOM $CVX $BP $KMI $MRO $DVN $PXD $HAL $BKR $SLB $MPC
They actually briefly plugged $OIH on Bloomberg today , along with $HAL and $BKR , discussed how all the so called “green” energy push is ultimately just going to cause fewer high dollar “deep water” projects and more land/fracking wells that are ultimately higher turnover and more costly; does anyone on here watch Bloomberg??? Or is it just loser CNBC “Fast Money” Tom Lee chartists/speculators and Jim Cramer lemmings??? 😆 does anyone on here follow the small cap oil services names??? I’m not gonna tell you about any of the good ones , all y’all would jinx me 😆
Cenovus Energy Inc.
Demand is coming back faster than supply and we're going to need more supply to meet that demand," said Phil Flynn, senior analyst at Price Futures Group in Chicago.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its monthly report that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, known as OPEC+, would need to boost output to meet demand set to recover to pre-pandemic levels by the end of 2022.
"OPEC+ needs to open the taps to keep the world oil markets adequately supplied," the Paris-based energy watchdog said.
$SU $CNQ $ENB $COP $BP $OXY $VET $XOM $TOT $CVX $MPC $EOG $CLR $EPD $E $KMI $PSX $HAL $PTR $SNP $WMB $BKR $EC $IMO $CQP $MMP $TRP $XOG
I'm reposting Jim's post from the SU conversation. It is extremely interesting to understanding the price movement in oil yesterday:
Short data: March18 ,2021
Today, Short sellers employed all of their tools in order to bring oil stocks and future contracts down.After failing to create a sell off in oil stocks ,they started to shorting April and May contacts for future oil.They brought WTI to 59$ from 64$.Biggest single drop since April2020.
As you see in below data, compare to share price drop, the volume was extremely low.
This volume does not match with share price drop.
That was just a pure and irresponsible manipulation.
Most media in the World censored this extraordinary event in capital market.
We are talking about tens of Billions of $ contracts and options which they are trying to kill them, plus covering their short position with creating fake sell off(scaring shareholders).
So far, we haven’t had sell off.Low volume.
They prefer spent and burn few billion dollars and sell stocks at discount, but meanwhile save tens of billions of money in other side.
Extreme and irresponsible manipulation which will have consequences in future of oil market ,especially in next OPEC+ meeting and their next policy.
Explanation about below data:
Vol: The total volume numbers of first hand shares which is coming into market for trading.It is different than total volume that you see in yahoo or elsewhere.Because in total volume one share can change many hands between traders.But original amount of coming shares and shorted shares are constant for day.
For Canadian Stocks the volume is just for US market.
SU : (Vol 2.326M shares), (Short 0.769M shares ), (33% of coming shares for trade)SU :
XOM (Vol 12M ), (Short 5.715M ), (48% )
CLR (Vol 1.129M ), (Short 0.703M ), (63% )
CVX (Vol 3.363M ), (Short 1.784M ), (53% )
OXY (Vol 8.277M ), (Short 5.32M ), (64% )
CPG (Vol 0.693M ), (Short 0.314M ), (45% )
CNQ (Vol 0.664M ), (Short 0.217M ), (33% )
ENB (Vol 0.885M ), (Short 0.57M ), (64% )
BP (Vol 3.458M ), (Short 1.265M ), (37% )
CVE (Vol 1.543M ), (Short 0.978M ), (64% )
CDEV (Vol 7.627M ), (Short 4.025M ), (53% )
FANG (Vol 1.087M ), (Short 0.505M ), (47% )
CPE (Vol 1.615M ), (Short 0.697M ), (43% )
MRO (Vol 10.09M ), (Short 5.662M ), (56% )
SLB (Vol 4.484M ), (Short 1.632M ), (36% )
HAL (Vol 2.948M ), (Short 0.971M ), (33% )
RIG (Vol 12.58M ), (Short 7.285M ), (58% )
TOT (Vol 0.553M ), (Short 0.378M ), (68% )
PXD (Vol 0.859M ), (Short 0.51M ), (60% )
COP (Vol 2.865M ), (Short 0.808M ), (28% )
BKR (Vol 1.79M ), (Short 0.659M ), (37% )
LPI (Vol 0.417M ), (Short 0.181M ), (44% )
PDS (Vol 0.054M ), (Short 0.02M ), (38% )
#XOM, #CLR , #CVX , #OXY , #CPG , #CNQ , #ENB , #BP , #CVE , #CDEV , #FANG , #CPE, #MRO , #SLB, #HAL, #RIG , #TOT, #PXD , #COP, #BKR , #LPI , #PDS
Dear all, i normally don't post a lot, but for now it feels that I need to share my thoughts:
This will get big squeezed (like
$AMC $GME ) with fundamental underlying: remember the lighthouse strategy: Baker Hughes has made minimum, non-cancelable revenue commitments with C3.ai of $53.3 million in the fiscal year 2021, accelerating to $150.0 million in the fiscal year 2024. So far C3.ai has only recognized $21.6 million of this contract. Means $31.7 million have been added by end of march.
Other examples for that strategy: Shell, Enel, ENGIE, Koch, the United States Air Force, Philips Medical.
Additionally government contracting:
DoD’s Innovation Arm Taps C3.ai for $95M Aircraft Maintenance Software Delivery Contract.
Assuming for 2024 fiscal year (which is q2/2023-q1/2024) a sales volume of $600.0 million and P/S of 25 PT should be around $150.
And this should be conservative, as $150.0 million are guaranteed alone by
Latest Market Date 2021-04-15
Short Volume 2,069,152
Market Volume 6,228,011
Short Volume Ratio 33%
Again working very hard. It's every 3rd trade which is a shortsell. Borrow fee rates doubled to 3,x% last three days. Yesterday and today combined more than 5 million shares ... I expect now more than 30% of the float are shorted.
One day they need to cover!!!
$BKR $SLB Any clue on who's leading in terms of digital service and technology? Any industry professionals able to comment on this? Thanks in advance! SLB's Delphi seems to be an industry standard.
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